230,000 Job Losses

South Africa’s formal job market has taken a heavy knock, with official data revealing that a staggering 229,000 positions were lost when comparing the second quarter of 2025 to the same three-month period in 2024. On a shorter-term basis, the first half of 2025 has been no better, with the country losing an additional 80,000 jobs between the first and second quarters. The latest set of figures, drawn from Statistics South Africa’s Quarterly Employment Survey (QES), illustrates the extent to which employment in the country’s regulated business sector has been placed under immense pressure, particularly in areas that provide essential public services.

Key Takeaways

  • Massive job losses recorded: South Africa’s formal employment sector lost 229,000 jobs year-on-year and 80,000 jobs quarter-on-quarter, signalling a worsening employment crisis.
  • Community services hit hardest: The majority of job losses came from community services, with smaller declines in trade, manufacturing, construction, and transport, while mining and electricity showed minor gains.
  • Salaries rise despite cuts: Although jobs were shed, average monthly earnings increased by 3.4% quarter-on-quarter and 6.5% year-on-year, with gross earnings climbing slightly across most sectors.

Get the funds you need with ease through Arcadia Finance. Compare offers from 19 trusted NCR-registered lenders with no application fees, and enjoy a smooth, reliable borrowing experience tailored to you.

Quarterly Employment Numbers Point to Industry Strain

The QES reported that overall employment numbers dropped by 0.8% from the first quarter to the second quarter of 2025. This decline took total employment down from 10,589,000 in March 2025 to 10,509,000 by June of the same year. The downward trajectory was primarily driven by job reductions in multiple industries. Community services accounted for the largest fall, with 53,000 fewer positions. The trade industry followed with a contraction of 10,000 jobs, while the manufacturing sector saw employment numbers slip by 9,000. The construction industry lost 7,000 jobs, and both the transport and business services industries reported reductions of 2,000 positions each. Although most industries declined, there were slight gains in a few areas, with mining creating 2,000 additional jobs and the electricity sector expanding by 1,000 roles. This mixed pattern reveals the uneven nature of the economy’s performance, with traditional resource-based sectors offering some growth while service-based fields continue to weaken.

Job Market Weakness

Annual Figures Highlight Deep Job Market Weakness

When examining the year-on-year comparison, the QES showed that total employment declined by 2.1% between June 2024 and June 2025, with total formal jobs falling from 10,738,000 to 10,509,000. This equates to 229,000 fewer workers employed in the space of twelve months. The largest portion of these losses came from community services, where 225,000 positions disappeared, making this sector the clear driver of the overall decline. The manufacturing industry reported a reduction of 18,000 jobs, mining fell by 6,000, transport by 3,000, and trade by 1,000. In contrast, there were small but positive movements in certain sectors. Electricity managed to add 1,000 jobs, while business services recorded an increase of 23,000 positions. The construction industry remained unchanged, showing no overall growth or decline.

These results underline how heavily the country’s employment outlook is influenced by large public service sectors, while at the same time highlighting how difficult it is for other industries to compensate for losses of this scale.

Survey Methodologies Provide Different Insights

The Quarterly Employment Survey is based on information collected directly from employers and therefore provides a picture of the number of people formally employed in businesses that are registered in South Africa. The QES does not account for categories such as agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing, or private households. In comparison, the Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS) is household-based and offers a wider view of the job market, capturing not only formal jobs but also informal work, domestic service, and unpaid family labour. The QES is seen as an effective tool for assessing the performance of South Africa’s formal business sector, while the QLFS is regarded as the best indicator of general labour force conditions and is the main source for calculating the national unemployment rate.

Labour Force Data Reflects Rising Unemployment

The QLFS for the second quarter of 2025 also revealed further pressure on the job market, with 140,000 more individuals officially recorded as unemployed over the period. This pushed the unemployment rate higher, reaching 33.2%. When combined with the QES findings, the data paints a bleak picture of the employment situation in the country. The QES has now reported declines in employment figures for three consecutive quarters, indicating a persistent downward trend. Analysts suggest that the outlook for the remaining quarters of 2025 remains negative, as domestic businesses continue to grapple with a range of risks, from weak economic growth and energy supply challenges to increasing international headwinds. This combination of internal and external pressures makes it unlikely that employment levels will recover quickly.

Earnings Increase for Those Who Remain Employed

Earnings Increase for Those Who Remain Employed

Although employment fell sharply, workers who managed to remain employed benefited from slightly higher levels of pay. The QES monitors developments across eight broad industries and twenty subcategories, which cover various types of manufacturing along with both government and non-government community and social services. Average monthly earnings rose by 3.4% during the quarter, moving from R28,322 in February 2025 to R29,290 by May 2025. On an annual basis, the increase was even higher, with average monthly earnings rising by 6.5% between May 2024 and May 2025. Gross earnings also recorded a modest increase, climbing by R2.2 billion or 0.2%, from R984.7 billion in March 2025 to R986.8 billion in June 2025. The improvement was largely attributed to increased earnings across community services, trade, construction, transport, mining, electricity, and manufacturing, even as these industries reported job losses. The only sector to show a decline in earnings was business services, which highlights how inconsistent the growth in income has been.

Variations in Basic Pay, Bonuses, and Overtime

Basic salaries and wages increased by 2.5% during the second quarter of 2025, offering a modest rise for employees. However, bonus payments fell dramatically by 25.4%, reflecting the seasonal patterns of additional pay rather than a long-term decline. Overtime pay also dropped by 1.0% over the same period, signalling reduced opportunities for workers to boost their income through extra hours. On a year-on-year basis, basic pay increased by 3.6%, keeping pace with inflation, while bonuses rose by 5.1% compared to the previous year. Overtime payments, however, declined by 4.5%. These shifts suggest that while employers are generally keeping base pay in line with inflation, there is less emphasis on offering extra compensation in the form of bonuses and overtime, which could have negative implications for household budgets and consumer spending power.

Conclusion

South Africa’s formal job market continues to weaken, with significant losses concentrated in key sectors such as community services and manufacturing, while only small gains in mining and electricity provided limited relief. The trend of consecutive quarterly declines highlights deep structural challenges within the economy, which are compounded by broader unemployment pressures captured in labour force data. Although average salaries have risen modestly, offering some support to those still employed, the overall picture reflects a fragile and shrinking employment base that poses serious risks to growth, household income stability, and long-term economic recovery.

Fast, uncomplicated, and trustworthy loan comparisons

At Arcadia Finance, you can compare loan offers from multiple lenders with no obligation and free of charge. Get a clear overview of your options and choose the best deal for you.

Fill out our form today to easily compare interest rates from 19 banks and find the right loan for you.

How much do you need?
Repayment period
Monthly repayment
R 211

Over 2 million South African's have chosen Arcadia Finance

*Representative example: Arcadia Finance is an online loan comparison tool and not a credit provider. We partner with Myloan.co.za and only work with NCR-registered credit providers in South Africa. Our comparison service to consumers is free of charge. Estimated repayments on a loan of R30 000 over 36 months at a maximum annual interest rate of 28% would be R1 360 per month including an initiation fee and monthly service fees. Interest rates charged by credit providers may, however, start as low as 11%. Repayment terms can range from 6 to 72 months.
Myloan

We work with Myloan.co.za. A leading loan marketplace in South Africa.